Donald Trump Will Not Go To War With North Korea, by Dr. Steven Nur Ahmed

Despite the saber rattling by both the Trump administration and North Korea as of October 30, 2017, neither the Trump administration nor North Korea will start a conventional nor nuclear war. If a nuclear or conventional war does start, it is more likely that it would be triggered either by a human or technical error or caused by someone hacking a military computer to make it appear that one or the other nation has launched a pre-emptive nuclear strike.

I predict that there will not be an intentional hot war with North Korea because neither the United States nor its allies can afford the manpower expenditure. For South Korea, the economic loss would be staggering if they were to engage in a war with North Korea let alone a global war with both China and Russia.

Some experts believe that the Trump administration is on course for war with North Korea. But even though the corporate-owned mainstream media is profiting by fanning war flames to generate public expectation and collective fear that a total war with North Korea is imminent the opposite is, in fact, the case. There will not be a hot war requiring the use of millions of Amerian youth with North Korea nor Russia or China for that matter.

The Trump administration will not go to war with North Korea for several reasons. First, there will be no war with North Korea because it borders China and Russia. Neither Russia nor China will allow the United States to have military bases on their eastern borders. North Korea serves as a buffer for both China and Russia. Both the Russian and Chinese governments know that if the North Korean government is brought down, they would face the same kind U.S. sponsored military buildup on their eastern Asian border that Russia does on its western European border particularly in Ukraine.

Secondly, there will be no hot war with North Korea because if a hot war were to start, it would inevitably cause China and Russia to support North Korea against the United States and its ally South Korea as they did during the United Nations Korean war in the 1950s. In such a case, South Korea would be the big loser. South Korea’s very successful economy and its companies like Samsung, Hyundai, Kia Motors, Daewoo would be destroyed and its population virtually destroyed. Japan, too, would be a loser. It would lose its major technological industries like Sony, Toyota, and hundreds of others. That would end Japan as a global economic power. The only economic winners in such a scenario would be U.S. multinational corporations. But the cascade of negative consequences wouldn’t stop there.

There is yet another inevitable consequence which would ensue if the Trump administration is unwise enough to start a hot war with North Korea. Such a conflict would spread to a very socio-economically unstable Europe because Russia is also part of Europe. Furthermore, it would spread to what is left of West Asia, and eventually to India. Such a global war and the nuclear fallout which would result therefrom would literally bring about the end of human civilization as we have known it. Also, there are social and demographic underpinnings in the United States and both South Korea and Japan which would make a nuclear or global conventional war with North Korea suicidal.

 The United States Does Not Have Sufficient Biotic Potential for Either Global Conventional nor Nuclear War

First, let’s look at some demographic facts.  Let me define bio-potential. Bio-potential is a measure of a group’s relation to all environmental pressures against it. In short, we should ask the question: Is bio-potential greater than, equal to, or less than all environmental pressures against it? The measure of a group’s biotic potential is the first indicator as to whether a nation can afford to go to war. When considering war, there is only one rational choice out of the three possible relations that a group can have with environmental pressures against it. The choice for war would have to be at a time when the biotic potential is greater than the environmental pressures against it.

Along with other resources, wars cost human bodies; nations must pay that cost up front. Prior to monetary costs and industrial infrastructural stability and outputs in the form of war materials, there is the necessity for a nation to have a large healthy youthful population. I have two historical examples to support my claim. All empires that have arisen and fallen over the past 6,000 years were preceded by a population boom. They each had large healthy youthful populations and stable family infrastructures before their expansion. Prior to their rise, they each enjoyed high biotic potential in relation to low environmental resistance to their growth. Let me illustrate another historical example by referencing the Vietnam war.At the height of the Vietnam war, the United States fielded about 500,000 troops in Vietnam. The United States could afford such a human resource expenditure in Vietnam because of the baby boom generation. Between 1946 and 1964 between 65 and 70 million babies were born in the United States.  Within the first 4 years of the baby boom or between 1946 and 1950, 17,637,358 babies were born. Those babies all came of age for the draft by 1968.

My point is that the United States could have put up to and over 4,000,000 troops in Vietnam with no strain on its male human resources at home.  The United States’ industrial and economic power at that time was at its peak. The biotic potential for the United State to engage in global conventional warfare was in surplus more so than at any other time in its history. It will never enjoy such a human resource surplus again. 

A surplus of human resources in the United States does not now exist. Two major reasons for the loss of human surplus in the United States have been the use of birth control contraceptives since 1959 and abortion since 1972. Abortion alone has accounted for a loss of approximately 50,000,000 U.S. would be citizens between 1973 and 2017.  Half of those Boomer echo babies would have been male. The Baby Boom echo was silenced by law.

The Baby Boom generation, the largest and most nurtured youthful and healthy generation in U.S. history, has passed its prime years as has the United States. We should contrast the cohort of baby boomers born between 1946-1950 with those babies born between 1997 and 2000. Between 1946-1950 there were 17, 637, 358 babies born. Assuming half were male, there were about 8, 818, 679 males of age for the draft.  In contrast, there were approximately 15, 840, 678 babies born in the United States between 1997 and 2000. If we assume that half of those babies were male then there are about 7, 920, 339 of those babies who are now of age for military service in the event of a global war. That represents a difference of about 898,340 draft available males. 

Numerically, birth rate data today are misleading because that data suggests a moderately high biotic potential in relation to environmental resistance. However, environmental resistance to biotic potential in the U.S. is actually greater today. The numbers belie an important fact. Health conditions must be analyzed to demonstrate a qualitative difference between the Baby Boom generation and both the Millennial and Generation X generations. Both the millennial and generation X generations are plagued with both poor mental and physical health.

The Pentagon reported that millions of them are physically and mentally unfit for duty. On June 29, 2014, the U.S. Army Recruiting Command’s commanding general at the Pentagon reported that: “7 in 10 Youths Would Fail to Qualify for Military Service … rapidly,” That is 70% percent of youth today that are unfit for military service. The United States is a nation which in 2016 experienced approximately 50,000 opioid overdose deaths many of whom are of those babies born between 1997 and 2000. There are millions of youth addicts in the United States ranging from alcohol, marijuana, cocaine, and opioids. They cannot be rehabilitated; “once an addict always an addict”. Given the Pentagon report, that would reduce the number of available youthful males from 7, 920, 339 available men to about 2, 376, 101. That number would no doubt be less because history proves that the upper classes will always find ways to prevent their sons from going to war.

The indisputable fact is that the United States does not have the human resource capacity to wage a global nuclear or conventional war with North Korea let alone with both Russia and China. But there are other demographic reasons for that as well.

Fertility rates are also an indicator of a nation’s biotic potential to wage global war. Neither the United States nor any of its allies have a fertility rate at what the U.S. Census Bureau defines as the population replacement level of 2.1 babies per woman between the age of 15 and 45. The United States’ fertility rate as of 2016 was 1.8, South Korea’s fertility rate is 1.2, Japan’s fertility rate is 1.4 and North Korea’s fertility rate is estimated to have been .4% in 2009.  None of those nations have the biotic potential for a conventional or nuclear war with North Korea, China, and Russia. Both South Korea and Japan would be destroyed as  nations were a war to start.Given their low fertility rates there would be no possibility for those two nations to kick-start their economies again without a mass influx of immigrants who wouldn’t speak the Korean and Japanese languages and loans. That would cause mass cultural fragmentation in their respective nations and national debt. The United States would lose at least 2,000,000 men and women; that would be about the total manpower called up to serve in the armed forces in the event of global war. And in such a scenario, California and Hawaii would be lost to nuclear attacks costing the lives of millions of American citizens on the west coast of the United States.  

That would be too significant a loss of human resources for the United States and would result in a staggering monetary cost compounded by a national debt already at 20 trillion dollars. It would seal the end of the United States as a global power and a coherent nation. The United States would then have to withdraw its military bases from abroad to curtail civil chaos at home. For that reason, a decision by the Trump administration to move for a hot war with North Korea would be totally irrational. The only rational option for the Trump administration is political negotiation and peace. 

Russian leadership knows that another global war would lead to their destruction as a nation. Russia learned that lesson twice during World War I and II. For that reason, Russia will not start a war with the United States nor any other nation. It lost over 27 million people in World War II and it has yet to recover its greatly diminished biotic potential. Its fertility rate is now about 1.6 along with China which is riding on the downward tail end of a youthful population. Furthermore with a growing elderly population in China and the need to house and feed many more elderly citizens a war would be senseless. Therefore, China will not start a war with any nation either. But both Russia and China can finish a war with their nuclear arsenals despite the fact that it would spell their doom.

Not one of the nations I have mentioned can afford a war except for North Korea. Would engaging in a war with the United States and its allies be a rational decision for North Korea? Relatively speaking, yes, it would be a rational decision for them. Why? Because North Korea has nothing to lose and they know that a war would reshuffle the global power playing deck.

North Korea has had very little socio-economic pleasure for its people in over 100 years dating back to the Japanese invasion of their homeland in 1910 until 1945. Remember also that North Korea was bombed by the United States literally into the dirt 64 years ago during the Korean War. That is one reason North Korea will not negotiate with the Trump administration because they have nothing to lose. They know that they have the power to end it all. That makes North Korea more powerful than any other side in the present contest because the only long and short-term losers will be the United States and its allies because they have more to lose. And, if Russia and China engage in a global war on the side of North Korea, they would be losers as well because they too have more to lose.

 The Power Elite Want Wealth, Power, and Pleasure

One last indicator that supports my thesis that the Trump administration will not attack North Korea unless there is an accident is that the power elite enjoy pleasure. Currently, the United States and France are re-instituting direct physical colonial rule over west African nations. The U.S. and France or more accurately the global financial institutions which control both the U.S. and France are competing with China in Africa. Their interests in Africa is long term and for that reason gives their hand away regarding the contest with North Korea. War for global financial institutions is an anathema. 

Currently, under the U.S. African Command, the United States has hundreds of military bases throughout Africa. Military strikes are being carried out daily throughout Africa. Their targets are organizations which are challenging national debt slavery and corrupt neo-colonial plantation structures set up by Western European nations. This has occurred in the wake of African independence movements beginning after World War II.

Donald Trump in a recent speech bragged that his friends were getting rich in Africa and thanked West African leaders for making that possible. The major corporate powers do not want war with North Korea for that reason. It would weaken and possibly end their efforts to control resources in Africa, make money, enjoy their power, and perpetuate debt slavery in Africa.

A Tried and Failed Military Strategy

One last point. The military strategy which failed in Vietnam is to hire mercenaries, command the militaries of other governments with U.S. officers and by financially rewarding corrupt African leaders. The point is to allow foreign mercenaries to absorb the biotic, social, and cultural meltdowns. After all, most African nations have tremendous bio-potential for war in the form of the highest fertility rates in the world. However, it is a sign of American weakness not of strength. The flaw in that kind of reasoning is simple and proven historically. Most of the indigenous people hate the United States. Their ranks are filled with spies for the opposition and every move made by U.S. troops will be signaled in advance to opposition forces.The Roman Empire applied the same tactics when its biotic potential to wage war and man fortifications throughout its empire was depleted. Hadrian built a wall; it didn’t work. The Caesars hired mercenaries; it didn’t work. Near the end of the Western Rome Empire, one of their trained mercenaries, the Visigoth Alaric, sacked Rome in 410 A.D. With one hit, it was over. After that, the western Roman Empire was plucked like a fat chicken.

The United States, France, England, and Israel are all too willing to supply African governments with the military arms and equipment they need to keep them in chaos. And if African mercenaries or government troops fight to further the purpose of western multinational corporate and financial institutions the western European nations will reward them. But Africa is a big continent capable of swallowing up whole empires.

“Make America Great Again”

The Western Euro-American Empires are past their fighting prime and their currencies are crumbling fast. Like an old prize-fighter wearied and tattered but in a state of mental denial regarding his biotic potential to fight another round and imagining a time when everything worked for him; when he got it right more times than not. He yet enters the ring one more time ‘to be great again’ thinking in terms like Donald Trump’s slogan “Let’s Make America Great AGAIN.”

Implicit in that slogan, though, is the unadulterated truth. The truth is that he cannot fight another round let alone another fight; the U.S. empire is over. The sad fact is that everybody knows it but most U.S. citizens.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DESCENDANTS OF SLAVES: NO FUTURE IN CALIFORNIA, by Dr. Steven Nur Ahmed

Whether we consciously acknowledge it or not, we are necessarily confronted everyday with certain unavoidable natural, economic, and political realities. For example, our need for food, for water, and for shelter; our need to be born healthy and into a family which provides us with a stable and structured material, emotional, and intellectual environment as well as our need to form meaningful relationships with those around us. Those conditions are all as natural as gravity. But barriers exist which challenge our ability to acquire those necessities. Some are natural and others are socially constructed. Our task is to overcome the ever present challenges to our existence.

A significant privation of any one of those conditions can retard our social development. If privations are severe enough, they can cause us to die prematurely before having ever had the opportunity to reach our highest stage of personal development. At its worst, significant social privations can dehumanize whole groups of people over time. We all want to avoid privation of the good things in life. We want what we think is good. But despite our best efforts we usually fall short at attaining what we believe to be good. That underscores another fact.

The fact is we are not always in conscious control of our situation. There are rational explanations for that fact but it is also because running parallel to what we consciously try to determine for ourselves are hidden irrational forces altering the designed outcome of our conscious choices. Those hidden irrational forces are like tiny metallic specks in the corners of a pair of dice making them roll off the course we design.

Inclosing the conscious sphere of our individual and collective lives is an even deeper natural reality. That reality is an unconscious yet very natural force. The unconscious is by weight a more powerful force than our rational efforts to design the best possible life for ourselves. That is so even though it’s awesome power is never fully discerned by us on our narrowly defined stage of personal drama.

Our personal drama blinds us to the existence of the unconscious forces moving us. Over a vast number of years, some of us may turn and look back, intuitively, if not visually. At that time, we experience a sweeping comprehension of the varied unconscious effects of the unseen on our lives, or the lives of those around us, and the very world we perceive. For as we examine our past at that time we may see with both hindsight and insight an altered landscape as well as an altered mindscape.

We comprehend them both reshaped around us as well as in us. We might then say: things have changed and are changing beyond my power to stop or control the incessant re-combinations and permutations of things around us. Yes, a face seen in a mirror at 20 years of age one day has a reality check and sees itself in the same mirror at 80 years of age and realizes it has been running a gauntlet of nuanced types of very physical opposition.

That unconscious force which loads the dice against us governs the ebb and flow of whole populations of creatures, big and small, across the globe. On land and under oceans, lakes, rivers, and streams. There are few remedies to its onslaught.

Darwin called it natural selection, adaptation, mutation, and gene flow. Here, there is no escaping it.  We live by and in natural selection and we are subjects to that all powerful process of change. That change extends to social selection by conflict and competition. 

With a broadened vision, some of us eventually come to comprehend that we are adrift and continually carried away as chemical film is carried on the surface of a body of water by deep and powerful undercurrents. To where in the world, we don’t know.

In time, maybe, some of us come to comprehend that we move with the ebb and flow of a great mass of human flesh. We can even feel it driving us through a wide biological undercurrent into ever shifting relational combinations.

We are tossed and turned in our lives by that unseen force. Our entering into and exiting varied personal drama is evidence of the unconscious as are the unpredictable outcomes which build up the social structures around our lives.

We know that there was no logical order to our coming to exist in the world; logical order was not nor could ever unravel the infinitely complex ever changing combination of things that bore us into a place to live out our lives. We are thrown about and where we land we are forced of necessity to just cope or if not, to die sooner than later.

We are in the world much more in the hand of blind chance than we are in the hand of conscious determination. We can be in such denial about our captivity. We blame ourselves for our captivity. Actually, we don’t have significant power. It is not always our mistakes that foil our best efforts to rise above the muck and mud, rather it is that unseen natural force which courses along its way against our own.  

But that makes conscious self-determination even more precious to us; for it is the most unique characteristic among all life forms on earth. The bouquet was thrown and we caught it; we have it. For it is conscious self-determination which can raise us above the absolute unpredictable roll of the unconscious and give to us a slice of reason coupled with action to buffer us against its shocks. Take for example reproduction. The reproduction of another human being is a free choice exercised by us to make another human creature or not.

The reproduction of offspring is contingent on many conditions.  Assuming those many conditions are adequately met, the reproduction of offspring is like spring water flowing down from a high mountain top. From that flowing spring water, entire communities draw as would a thirsty man or woman draw from a well on a hot summer day.

By it, a population, from a bird’s eye view, not spanning minutes, hours, and days but rather a view spanned over decades and centuries at a sweep would stand out as one living organism connected by a thread of DNA stretching back countless billions of years.

We would stand out literally as a transparent gooey chemical process among others in the atmosphere, but graced with a mysteriously endowed high intelligence. Intelligently, we can and do replenish ourselves and in so doing awaken at the dawn of every new generation a renewed people ready to struggle again.

But let’s assume the opposite. What if the many contingent conditions for biological reproduction are not adequately met? Under such conditions, what should we expect? 

What does science say? For science and the methodology of science is to our understanding what sensation is to our body. Zoological experts say that the fitness of any individual or population is measured by the number of its offspring that survive to sire their own offspring and through which its unique genetic codes and culture are passed through the unconscious undercurrent from one generation to the next.[1] What relevance does that have to descendants of slaves in California? My answer is that Descendants of Slaves have no meaningful place within any social sphere in the state of California. Let me tell you why that is my thesis.

No Demographic Growth for Descendants of Slaves

I recently read a study published by the California Department of Finance which predicts statistically that there will be a significant decline in the population of descendants of slaves in California. It predicted a full 2 percent drop, from 7.3 percent in 1980 to 5.3 percent by 2030.   Such population decline can be observed in every city and town in California. What we observe cannot be dismissed as being merely a statistical dip; it is a growing trend. 

 

The End of Marriage For Descendants of Slaves

Marriage rates for DOS are correlated with DOS demographic decline. There has been a consistent decline in the marriage rate among descendants of slaves generally.  Even among college educated DOS, the marriage rate is in free fall. The Brookings Institute reported a study which found that 60% of black college graduates have never married.[2]

 

In an article published by Scholars Strategy Network, Dawne Mauzon states: In 1960, 61% of blacks were married but by 2008 it was only 32%. Blacks also get divorced more often and remarry less frequently than whites.”[3]  What other factors are correlated with the marriage decline among DOS?

Mauzon hypothesizes, and I quote: “In part, the men are just not there in many black communities.” That is a social fact. It is normative for black adult males to be absent in black families. The chances are greater for that being the case than not. In California, 29% or 39, 451 of all black males are prison inmates.  

Furthermore, the Pew report revealed that DOS females have a narrowly defined preference list.[4] In short, most black women surveyed have high financial aspirations when it comes to choosing a mate.

No Marriage and Education Balance for Descendants of Slaves

The Pew Report went on to reveal that Black women prefer a well-educated black male. That preference exists although in California Black male enrollment at California State Universities is approximately 1.5 percent or 3,860 of the total student body of over 200,000 students. It is even worse at the California Universities where in the fall of 2016 at U.C. Berkeley there were only 393 black male freshmen of the 13,900 entering freshmen. At California Poly Technic State University San Luis Obispo, one of the most important engineering and architectural institutions in the nation, black males constitute less than 1 percent of the student body of 26,000 students. One must also keep in mind that a significant number of those are immigrant Africans or their descendants.

Thus, with a ratio of 1 African American Male for every 2 African American females at California State Universities, it is highly unlikely that the far more numerous females will match up with black males having equal educational credentials inside California.[5] That is a national pattern.

No Marriage and Financial Stability for Descendants of Slaves

Lastly, the Pew Research report revealed that 50% of black women surveyed want male financial stability as a precondition to marriage. That compared to only 25% of white women who wanted the same. This expectation is not what most black males can meet according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In California, 20% of descendants of slaves are at or below the poverty line; that is 1 out of every 5. Full employment for many is a thing of the past.

It was reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in 2015 that male descendants of slaves had an unemployment rate of 11% in the State of California.[6] That rate of DOS unemployment has become a constant since California lost between 30 and 40 percent of its manufacturing jobs over the course of the last three decades.

The California unemployment rate is twice as high as the national average. Black men are more likely to be in and out of employment more frequently than males of other ethnic groups. There are many reasons for that but suffice it to say that the reality of black male financial stability does not equate with what 50% of black females in that survey want.

Those black females who want men who are financially stable will generally not find them in the private sector either. The loss of black businesses will be an unintended consequence of a declining black population and or communities in California. So, if you are African American, don’t start your business in California unless you live in a densely-populated immigrant African community or have White and or Hispanic patronage. Generally, black businesses are suffering and withering away. There will be a dearth of financially viable black men from those job markets for black women who want to marry financially stable black men who own a  business.

Part of the reinforcement feedback loop will be a loss of black patronage for black businesses including banks. And there is no evidence to support a claim that white and Hispanic people will significantly patronize black businesses including the use of black professional services. A derivative effect of low or no financial stability in the DOS community is that in California they have no political power.

No Political Representation for Descendants of Slaves 

All citizens are urged to employ legislative representatives for remedy of their grievances in democratic societies. We are taught that the laws that govern us all will clearly reflect both our fears and hopes. We are taught the enforcement of those laws will recognize no class differences by state law enforcement agencies. We are taught that every citizen brought before our criminal courts are presumed innocent until proven guilty. We are taught that justice is blind and so not respecting the person hears only the facts.

We have virtually no representation in the State Legislature. As of 2016, only 10 state legislators are of African descent. That is a far less proportion than the proportion of DOS in California. No wonder our needs go unmet.[7]  Black politicians serve the interests of their doners. The interests of their doners is greater power for themselves not DOS.

  

If a community’s interests are defined in terms of power, meaning that their interests are reflected in the laws and policies of society and acted upon by its many agencies, then DOS have no political power in California. For the overwhelming magnitude of social and economic privations among DOS in the many cities where they are concentrated evidences a wide fault line in this Californian democracy. On one side of that fault line are Descendants of Slaves and on the other side is everyone else including black politicians who generally supported the NAFTA agreement signed into law under Bill Clinton in 1994.

DOS have been politically abandoned in California. Therefore, descendants of slaves do not participate the democratic process in California enough to qualify them as voice in state affairs. Descendants of slaves are institutionally powerless and perhaps more importantly, they cannot muster street power to make their voices heard. 

No Habitat for Descendants of Slaves

There is a zoological assumption at the foundation of my discussion. The truth is there is inadequate carrying capacity for most DOS in the state of California.   There is too much environmental resistance on all levels to DOS growth. There was a time when we were not here and there will be a time very soon when we will be here no longer. As a unique ethnic group in California, DOS are running out of habitat in California. Like any other animal, the loss of habitat spells doom.

The factors which I have identified along with many others including those of mental health, religious institutions, and political affiliation are also parts of reinforcing feedback loops causing DOS communities to spin irreversibly out of control. Though some individuals will live on in the state, generally there is no future for DOS as a community in the State of California.

 

 

[1] Quran: 76:2, 18:37, 23:13

[2] American Family Survey; Restricted to Women aged 25 to 35, cited from Brookings Institute: Race Gaps in Marriage Rates for College Graduates

[3] Dawne Mouzon, Rutgers University, Why Has Marriage Declined Among Black Americans, Rutgers University, 2013

[4] Pew Research Center, Survey, 2010

[5] Keep in mind that most college educated men marry down the socio-economic scale or are indifferent to a women’s education level.

[6] U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Unemployment Rates for Blacks by State, 2015

[7] California Research Bureau, California State Library

MORAL POWER, by Dr. Steven Nur Ahmed

How can our earth have such plenitude of life, clean water, and dense forests just 12,000 years ago, but now have become reduced to increasing scarcity of life, unclean water, and diminishing forests along with rising human misery after only a few hundred years? What is the cause or what is to blame? I think that history reveals a clear relation between the choices we make and planetary enhancement or degradation.

We cannot blame technology in and of itself because technologies of whatever kind are merely instruments of human creation and use. Technologies do not have a practical purpose independent of the design given to them by human beings. Technologies are only purposeful when guided by the hand of a human being.

The technologies which are designed, mass produced, and marketed by corporate power elites filter down to billions of people in global markets and into homes worldwide. Then, when used on a mass scale by people who do not understand the harm such technologies do, the harm done to earth grows to immeasurable depths.[1]

The mass use of a single technology like a cellular phone or automobile by billions of human beings on any given day is causing mass irreparable damage to the fabric of our moral lives and to life forms on earth. The fact is that moral depravity and earthly depravity are positively correlated.

The signs of global resource scarcity, environmental imbalance, and rise in human misery point to specific choices which some human beings have been making with cold indifference to other better alternative choices which could have been made by them.  Their choices are ‘moral choices’.  Moral action and its opposite called negligence are the context of all human relations.

Both the Bible and the Holy Quran make the same argument by means of an allegorical story.[2] The first human beings were made guardians of a Garden; imagine that the Garden symbolizes the Earth.  A guardian is a moral overseer. Their prime directive from God was to do no harm and break no promises.  After committing harm and breaking a promise, the first human beings were condemned to physical, emotional, and spiritual degeneration in perpetuity. It is called: the fall from grace. That allegorical story implies the necessity of making moral choices so that we can have healthy social and environemental relations.

In law school, I studied the law of Torts. I studied a branch of Tort called the Tort of Negligence.[3] The central proposition in the law of negligence is simple. It is that ‘every person has a duty of due care so as not to harm another’. When one breaches his or her duty of due care to other persons and harms them, they are defined by law as having been negligent.  They are defined as having breached ‘the social contract.’[4]

Before we act, we should always consider what behavior is the best behavior so that we reduce the chance we will do harm to another including all other animals. Undeniably, the law of Negligence is a moral principle. The law of Negligence is a civil law implicit in all criminal laws; it is a fundamental principle in all human groups. The fact that human groups exist at all makes moral principles self-evident.

When a person is presented with more than one choice of action in a circumstance, the question is: which option is the best choice out of several alternatives? There is always the best choice of action out of several options in every given circumstance.

Some scholars argue that human beings are fundamentally selfish.[5] But the best choice cannot simply be that choice which optimizes what is good or pleasurable for the person making the choice. That would be an act of irrational selfishness.[6] For what is good for one person or even several persons or even a whole nation may be disastrous for billions of other persons in the short and long run.

Evidence exist to support that claim. Look at the last several thousand years of what I call the ‘Empire Game’. The Empire Game has been and is now an unmitigated disaster for all humanity. The Empire Game has even assumed the title of ‘World History’ implying that all other facets of human history are less important than it.

But there is also what are called in law ‘acts of omission’. Sometimes, under some circumstances, even making no choice can be an act of negligence which causes harm to another. Therefore, the argument that ‘some choices are amoral’ meaning morally neutral is a false premise because individuals and groups always make choices they define as good or pleasurable for themselves. And those choices even if it is a choice not to choose any course of action always cause effects. Therefore, there is no such thing as an ‘amoral’ choice because all choices and even decisions not to choose have unintended consequences on other people and the earth.[7]

For that reason, the issue of moral power and its effect on human and other environmental relations is the central problem facing us today. It is a central problem facing descendants of slaves. If that problem is not solved quickly, there will be no hope for mass survival during this age of global dysfunction.[8]

The political, corporate, and religious power elite casts a very long shadow over billions of people on this earth of ours. At the end of the day, their shadows convert to social and spiritual privation for all those living in their shadow. In a sense their shadow blocks rational sunlight from reaching into the lives of many people. It makes us less able to live moral lives because it stresses us to be less cooperative and more irrational and conflictual in relation to our neighbors and earth.

For subordinate people, everywhere, the life of the power elite is the antithesis of the life lived by those in their shadow. The elite, whether they be political, religious, or business elites, live a life of wealth and intellectual supremacy at the biological, economic and social expense of all people subordinate to them. 

What can we do? Can we hypothetically get a grasp of the gravity of our social and economic problems? Let’s imagine some possibilities and follow them through to a conclusion. Let’s do a thought experiment.

Hypothetically speaking, if every descendant of slaves who is incarcerated in State, Federal, County, and City jails were released tomorrow; and

Hypothetically speaking, if every descendant of slaves who is released vowed to never commit another crime; and,

Hypothetically speaking, if no crimes were committed by descendants of slaves released from prison thereafter; and,

Hypothetically speaking, if all other descendants of slaves vowed that they would never break the law; and,

Hypothetically speaking, if all descendants of slaves in fact did not commit felonies ever again in the United States, then what would happen?

First, there would be an extra million and a half descendants of slaves living mainly in cities but also in small towns throughout the United States.

One million and a half more descendants of slaves would immediately add about 2% to the African American unemployment rate which already stands at about 16% or twice that of White unemployment.  That would make the unemployment rate for African Americans about 18%.   What can we compare an 18% unemployment rate to?  For that, we turn to the 20th century.

During the height of the 20th century’s great depression, the percentage of unemployed Americans was 25%. Thus, if there were a 2% rise in unemployment, descendants of slaves would experience an economic depression equivalent to the great depression wherever they lived in the United States in 2017.

Secondly, if no crimes were committed by descendants of slaves, the criminal justice system would collapse unless it seized upon another ethnic group to criminalize. Let’s assume the criminal justice system did not seize upon another ethnic victim. What would happen?

An unintended consequence of mass lawful behavior would be a second wave of unemployment adding to the 2% rise in black unemployment; but this time among whites. The ripple effect would expand far and wide into the economy. Share value in private for profit prisons stock would literally become worthless. Billions of dollars would be lost over night making wealthy white investors poor.

What would happen is that the “1,719 state prisons, 102 federal prisons, 942 juvenile correctional facilities, 3,283 local jails, and 79 Indian Country jails as well as in military prisons, immigration detention facilities, civil commitment centers, and prisons in the U.S. territories” would get significant Federal, State, County, and city budget cuts. That would include cutbacks in criminal courts with district attorneys, public defenders, police officers, and private criminal lawyers becoming unemployed along with everyone who works in the criminal justice system from administrators, correctional officers, to janitors. It would affect over 500, 000 individual employees and their families. In dollar terms, let’s say a cutback of about $85 billion dollars nationwide.  State, Federal governments would lose money because they would no longer have a justification for increased taxation of citizens to support the criminal justice system. Look at the graph below to get a bird’s eye view of the magnitude of economic dependence governments and corporations have on crime and the incarceration of descendants of slaves.

What would all those descendants of slaves choose to do under such circumstances? The economic characteristics of the United States are changing so fast that even the most educated Americans are continually having to retool their skills to keep up with technological change. How can under-educated ex-felon descendants of slaves be expected to do so?

 

Robots at the “Hannover Messe” trade fair in Hanover, Germany, April 2014[9].

The fact is that there would be no jobs for most of them aside from agricultural employment. The reasons that they would have nothing to do center around 1) their general lack of education. Here are the facts: “About 41% of inmates in the Nation’s State and Federal prisons and local jails in 1997 and 31% of probationers had not completed high school or its equivalent. In comparison, 18% of the general population age 18 or older had not finished the 12th grade.”[10] The educational characteristics of incarcerated descendants of slaves change at a glacial pace. The same educational characteristics hold true in 2017.

A second reason is that negative stigmata would be attached to them for having been incarcerated and simply for being ‘black’ in this white supremacist society.

Descendants of slaves have never been able to even minimally compete with the dominate white culture on any level. Some say ‘well what about sports’? I say to them that ‘No descendent of slaves owns a professional sport team in any league or sport.’ That holds true generally in the entertainment industry as well. Some others will argue, ‘well we can restart Black Wall Street such as the one which existed in Tulsa, Oklahoma in the 1920s.’ I say, “one cannot step twice into the same river.” Times, circumstances, and especially sentiments among Descendants of Slaves completely rule out that possibility. Some others will say: we can join a church or Masjid or Temple. I say that none of those American religious institutions will bite the hand which feeds them. They have become instruments of the banking system debt slavery and therefore of Wall Street.

Furthermore, that kind of change is not likely now because of ethnic integration and the rapidity of technological changes taking place. Add to that the increasing dysfunctional social life of most descendants of slaves particularly those million and a half individuals in our thought experiment now out of prisons and jails.  It leads to one conclusion. The only rational choice, the best choice, for descendants of slaves would be the choice to exercise moral power. Simply obey all laws. 

[1] Include under technology genetically modified organisms.

[2] Genesis Chapter 2, Torah; Holy Quran 2:30

[3] The Tort of Negligence literally means: the harm of negligence

[4] The Social Contract. Jean-Jacques Rousseau

[5] Charles Darwin, Origin of Species, 1849; Richard Dawkins, The Selfish Gene, 1976

[6] All human beings are intinctual or behaviorally unconsciously driven but we are also conscious and rational when fully developed. Moral decisions arise out of rational deliberation. Out of that kind of deliberation society is made possible. There is initially an imbalance in favor of instinct. But over time conscious rationality more or less increases.

[7] I once heard George Soros say that his decisions are ‘amoral’. Soros is in conscious denial or lying.

[8] William Vogt, Road to Survival; chapter 2, ‘Biotic Limits’, 1944

[9] Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee, and Michael Spence July/August 2014

[10] Education and Correctional Populations, Bureau of Justice Statistics, by Caroline Wolf Harlow, Ph.D., 2003

Donald Trump Wears A Hard Hat: Get Ready to Move…Again, by Dr. Steven Nur Ahmed

 

A report by Reuters on December 19, 2016, written by M.B. Bell and Joshua Schneyer, identified thousands of areas across the United States where lead poisoning is worse than it is in Flint, Michigan: “A Reuter examination of lead testing results across the country found almost 3000 areas with poisoning rates far higher than in the tainted Michigan City.” Reuters stopped their count at 3000. There are thousands more.

For over 100 years, scientists and scholars have known of the deleterious effects of lead poisoning on the human body particularly the brain in young and old persons. But we will not rehash the scientific findings of the specific effects of lead poisoning in this article. Nor shall we examine the criminal proceedings now in process against those responsible for the lead poisoning disaster in Flint, Michigan. Those subjects are not the main point I want to make here because there is another crisis looming on the horizon and it will be a collateral effect of lead testing results across the nation.

A demographic crisis is forming. It will displace millions of Descendants of Slaves out of inner cities across the United States. The crisis will put gentrification into hyper-drive and there will be no stopping it from happening because there are no credible reasons to make the argument that it would not be legal nor is there a persuasive moral argument that it should not happen.

Bell and Schneyer identified Flint, Michigan; we can add to that Detroit; Chicago, Illinois. They also identified the city of Baltimore, Maryland; Missouri;  Milwaukee, Wisconsin; Cleveland, Ohio; Philadelphia and Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; South Bend, Indiana. But there are thousands more cities across the nation wherein children and adults suffer brain damage due to lead poisoning.  

Let me put it another way, it will be the great migration in reverse. But this time with no hope of a higher quality of life in an industrial urban setting with plenty of blue collar and domestic jobs.[1] What is going to happen may or may not be more pressing because of Donald Trump’s election to be our 45th President of the United States.

It is not a Republican nor Democratic nor Libertarian scheme, for the political bosses are but emissaries; rather, it is a corporate scheme to turn leaded inner city infrastructures into healthy and vibrant life centers with plush recreational parks for the power elite.

Donald Trump will become the President of the United States on January 20, 2017. He is uniquely qualified to carry the corporate ball down field and to make their plan a reality because his expertise is in the field of building construction and eminent domain. When they see an opening in the line, corporate America crashes everything and moves the ball through it.They will be awarded billions of tax payer dollars by getting government contracts. They will for the most part be white owned companies. 

That begs the question: what will be the rational used to trigger the crisis? My answer is that it will be based upon ‘condemnation policy’ for public health and safety purposes. It will be legal. Lead infested infrastructures are a cause for public health and safety action by local, state, and federal governments. The U.S. Constitution gives governments the legal authority to have such policy.

The Fifth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution provides for the legal acquisition of private property under what is called ‘eminent domain’. Therein it states: “…nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.”

What that means is that governments have a legal duty. Governments must provide due process of law to the property owner. Governments must serve a legal or natural person who owns the property a notice of the date and place a court proceeding is to take place. They must cite the law upon which such a notice is based. Governments must make it clear that their aim is to take away the property of the holder of title. Governments must provide for such a private owner a day in court to argue why the government has no legal or rational basis to take their property.

Secondly, if a government takes a private property then it must pay the owner fair market value for that property. Then and only then can a government legally take private property for public use or purposes.

Supreme Court decisions have expanded the limits of governments’ right to seize private property from owners. Those decisions are of vital importance to us because they will enable us to see the corporate strategy or play book for taking lead infested environments and booting out descendants of slaves.

The problem that Descendants of Slaves have in relation to eminent domain is more complex now than ever before. Keep this in mind, most Descendants of Slaves who live within inner cities where lead is a public health and safety issue…do not own the property wherein they live. That means that: 1. No notice will be given to them of court proceedings to take property; they will usually get 30 to 60 days to move, and 2. though the owners will get fair market value compensation from government, the fact is that most Descendants of Slaves will get no compensation whatsoever. With little or no money and priced out of high rent neighborhoods, most Descendants of Slaves will have nowhere to go.[2] New Supreme Court decisions now make all of this not just possible but highly likely.

In Kelo v. City of New London,[3] 545 U.S. 469 (2005), the Supreme Court of the United States held that  the use of eminent domain to transfer land from one private owner to another private owner to further economic development is constitutional: “In a 5–4 decision, the Court held that the general benefits a community enjoyed from economic growth qualified private redevelopment plans as a permissible “public use” under the Takings Clause of the Fifth Amendment.” That decision made ‘public use takings’ synonymous with ‘public purpose’. The court privatized the 5th amendment takings clause.  If a company can prove that it plans the broad and vague phrase ‘public purpose’ to a court, then it can legally take private property and remarket it for profit.

The test employed under Kelo v. City of New London is a simple one: “…if an economic project creates new jobs, increases taxes and other revenues, and revitalizes a depressed (even if not blighted) urban area, it qualifies as a public use.” Justice Stevens wrote in that decision: “the Court long ago rejected any literal requirement that condemned property be put into use for the general public”[4] The foundation has been laid. Cities across the nation will take advantage of this diction to attract a wealthier population while pushing out poor whites and descendants of slaves.

There will be many other collateral effects. Some will be beneficial. For example, there will be a steep decline in black on black homicide and violent crime. There will be a steep decline in the number of Descendants of Slaves incarcerated. There will be a steep decline in the number children who are exposed to lead and other heavy metal toxins. Just to name a few.

Some of the harmful collateral effects will be increased poverty among descendants of slaves; few jobs which provide a livable wage; greater spatial difficulty accessing vocational and college institutions; the end of national grass root social justice organizations which depend upon a concentrated population of Descendants of Slaves for support; social alienation among poor and wealthy Descendants of Slaves; drug abuse will increase; fertility rates will decrease even lower than now; the marriage rate will continue to decline and will become the lowest in the nation; the traditional ‘black church’ will wither away.

The black church will be replaced by ecumenical churches which abandon Descendants of Slaves primarily because they are generally poor. Instead they will reach out to non-descendants of slaves as the religious priests struggle to keep their revenue streams fluid; and lastly, there will be an increase in more psychopathic individuals making claims to you on social media that you should give them your money.[5]

The fabric and texture of the lives of Descendants of Slaves in America is about to undergo such a radical change that many will suffer what the sociologist Emile Durkheim described as ‘anomie’. Consequently, suicide rates among Descendants of Slaves will rise significantly over the next 10 years.

Adding to the overall post-modern disenfranchisement of Descendants of Slaves is new technology. New technologies such as Nano technology, Bio- technology, Robotic technology or artificial intelligence, and an increasing demand for brain driven workers has made most Descendants of Slaves literally obsolete.    

Great play writers know that there are only three ideal types in drama. One is comedy. One is tragedy. And one is a combination of both called…tragicomedy. Descendants of Slaves have no doubt played all three of these types for three centuries and continue to do so. 

But all plays must inevitably come to an end. So, now, the curtain draws slowly on this one, too. I know you want to hear something good, something positive for the new year. You want to see fireworks; sparklers and such. But I’m not going to lie to you. I don’t want your money because I know what true wealth is; and I don’t need you to be up in my face crowd pleasing me.  So, I don’t need to sugar coat what I say to you.  It will be an unhappy new year for Descendants of Slaves.

 

 

 

 

 

 

[1] The Great Migration was the movement of 6 million African-Americans out of the rural Southern United States to the urban Northeast, Midwest, and West that occurred between 1910 and 1970. Wikipedia

[2] Section 8 housing will place many of them far out into the suburbs.

[3] 545 U.S. 469 (2005)

[4] 545 U.S. 469

[5] This can already be seen on Go Fund Me cites as well as You-tube, Facebook, et al.

WILL MILLENNIALS LOSE NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY? by Dr. Steven Nur Ahmed

Millenials 2

There is both a national and international plan underfoot. It is being carried out by the power elite. Their goal is to take away judicial jurisdiction out of the hands of the millennial generation as well as all future generations of U.S. citizens.The power elite are carrying out their plan in order to preserve wealth and power on a transnational level in their hands and the hands of their descendants.

Their immediate purpose is to subordinate Federal and State judicial jurisdiction defined by the United States Constitution under Article 3 as well as the 10th amendment.   That would put our highest courts under a new special global corporate legal jurisdiction called the ‘Investors State Dispute Settlements Court’. The consequence is that corporations through the court would then be enabled to sue nations for their projected corporate losses of ‘expected future monetary profits’. 

That new legal system called the ‘Investors State Dispute Settlement’ court is designed to dominate both Federal and State courts in matters relating to foreign corporate interests in the United States and throughout the pacific rim. That system would make U.S. citizens pay billions of dollars in fines if they pass laws to protect U.S. interests which conflict with and interfere with foreign corporate profits.

The plan is called the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement. If it is signed into law by the next President of the United States, it will signal the first step to an end of United States Sovereign power and the beginning of direct multinational corporate control over the U.S. military, forever. 

It is an agreement made by the 1% to 10% of power elites defined by Forbes 400 Magazine in 2015, the 40 pacific rim nation prospective signatories, multinational corporations, Wall Street, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and International Bank of Settlements. They all want the aggreement to be signed by President Barak Obama. He wants to sign it, too. He works for them.

Those parties and institutions want our Congress and the President to make the TPP agreement binding with no sunset clause in it. They want that because such a law will take away not only judicial jurisdiction over companies and nations doing business in the the United States but also to take away their right to bear arms which the power elite perceive to be a great threat to their growing power in the United States.

They want to limit legal jurisdiction of Federal and State courts, and they want total control over the U.S. military and the industries which support it.  In short, they want absolute power because the national political winds are no longer blowing in their favor. They can feel it pressing against their faces. 

They see before their eyes a political turn that is occurring and have marked it as a hinge period in U.S. political history. A period which has the potential to irreversibly change the course of world history against their interests.

They know that there will be no going back to the days when they could work in the shadows. They know that they must act now and they plan to do so under a Presidency of either Obama, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. For they see demographic, economic, and state and federal voting patterns are now threatening their power. 

Millennials pass Baby Boomers

The Millennials are making their political and economic frustrations and anger known to the world. The millennials are defined as those born between 1981 to those reaching the age of 18 years of age in 2016. In 2015, the millennial generation population is over 70 million; it has surpassed the baby boom population which numbered over 60 million persons born between 1945 and 1964.[1] Their postmodern political preferences are now being felt. Old political boundaries mean nothing to them; justice, the environment, and their future means everything to them.

During the recent democratic party nomination process, the effect of postmodern millennial culture was a political quake. More than 80% of all votes for democratic party socialist Bernie Sanders were cast by millennials. It was a clear statement of their collective sentiment for social change. For them, the prospect of Hillary Clinton becoming president of the United States is cause for them to have high anxiety and for good reasons.

Hillary Clinton is unalterably tied to and personally loyal to Wall Street financial interests. Millennials know that her husband Bill Clinton signed into law the repeal of the Glass-Steagall act of 1933 which set in motion the economic collapse of 2008. They know Bill Clinton signed into law the welfare reformation act. They know that Bill Clinton signed into law N.A.F.T.A. All at the behest of Wall Street and corporate interests. They know it has cost them uncounted thousands of jobs. They know that it was Bill and Hillary Clinton who signed into law outrageous prison sentences for petty non-violent drug offenders.  They know that Hillary Clinton is duplicitous by design.

Millennials know that the Clinton Foundation has clear international conflicts of interests ranging from deals with shady individuals, foreign corporations to nation states such as Saudi Arabia. All of that underscores to millennials that there will be no respite from their lives of debt. Even now, 31% of all Federal assets are student loans over 1.2 trillion dollars.[2] The Federal Government has become dependent on students remaining in financial debt for student loans for life.

Fasces

Millennials know that they are being slowly enclosed within the walls of a new kind of color blind global slave plantation. A plantation system which approximates the Roman Empire more than any other since ancient Rome. They know what that means for them. The ‘Fasces’ will be carried by a new global legal system with a mercenary global military to back it up. Millennials know that if they do not act now they will not have the freedom to act in the near future.

Millions of millennials are and will continue to be under employed at low paying jobs in the service sector economy and forced to live at home with their parents well into their 30s with no change in sight. They have therefore beaten a new path.

Millennials have sought an anti-neo-liberal and Republican path because they have no confidence in the political status quo. That has led the power elite to political panic and mayhem on the streets of America. For the first time in over 100 years we are seeing a democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton, supported by both a fractured and corrupt democratic party combined with corrupt republicans. Republicans who have abandoned the GOP because a national revolt by disenfranchised grass root ‘white’ Americans have gutted the Republican Party.  

New political sentiments driven by a new born national conscience are threatening to redistribute the wealth of the power elite and restructure its armed guard…the sheriffs’ and police departments. Thus, the TPP is an instrument for the elite to maintain their wealth and power.

The TPP has an ultimate aim. Their aim is to take away Federal and State judicial jurisdiction over corporations in the TPP from all future generations of the U.S regardless of race and gender. They aim to do that because they know that if they don’t take away Federal and State judicial jurisdition over the TPP then any law passed in their favor under either Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump will be repealed after one or the other leaves office. They know they have lost control over the two party system; thus they will be less able to manipulate nominees to power. The power elite know that a whole new political order is on the horizon. They are running frenzied at the mere thought of it.

Non white outnumber whites

The power elite face yet another problem looming on the horizon. It was reported by the Pew Research Center in June of 2016 that: “The bureau’s (Census Bureau) estimates for July 1, 2015, released today, say that just over half – 50.2% – of U.S. babies younger than 1-year-old were racial or ethnic minorities. In sheer numbers, there were 1,995,102 minority babies compared with 1,982,936 non-Hispanic white infants, according to the census estimates.”[3] Assuming conditions remain more or less the same, a higher birth rate of racial minority infants will continue resulting in a majority non-white U.S. population.

The days when the fallacious racial strategy of ‘appeal to the silent majority’ to garner votes are over. So now the power elite have a big problem because most of the wealth in the United States and the world is concentrated in the hands of a small group of about 10% of the white population. They can no longer rely on old majority numbers.

So what of the United State military? What role will it play? There has already been a corporate coup d’etat of the U.S. military. For example, it was reported by ‘Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics’ in Washington D.C. and ‘the Brave New Foundation’ that “…70% of retired three and four star generals took jobs with defense contractors or consultants.”[4]

That fact demonstrates that the U.S. military has been for over 100 years infiltrated by Wall Street and corporate money. Money and the manufacturers of war materials actually control the military just as police and sheriffs’ departments across the nation control city politicians when it is in their interests to do so.

The cooptation of the United States military by TPP courts will give TPP the global muscle to enforce its corporate legal jurisdiction as the military has done for domestic corporations since its inception.[5]

Finally, for the power elite, U.S. citizens must be disarmed. If Hillary Clinton is elected she will appoint a Supreme Court Justice or justices who will swing court voting in that direction. It will give the court a majority vote in some obscure case which makes its way up the court system. The Second Amendment will be so watered down that over time only shot guns will be lawful in one’s home.

The de facto repeal of the second amendment to the United States Constitution is viewed by the power elite as necessary. They see it as necessary because the power elite fear an armed citizenry and know it cannot be subordinated to tyranny whether that tyranny is foreign or domestic. If and when the above plans come to fruition it will be the end of the United States of America as a sovereign nation.

The Millennials and every generation which follows after them will lose their constitutional power to reverse decisions made by the Investors State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) court if they are not proactive in changing the political status quo.  

 

 

 

[1] Millennials Overtake Baby Boomers as America’s Largest Generation, Pew Research, 25 April 2016

[2] The Fed’s Financial Accounts: What is Uncle Sam’s Largest Asset? By Jill Mislinski, June 13, 2016

[3] It’s official: Minority babies are the majority among the nation’s infants, but only just…” by D’vera Cohen, June 23, 2016, Pew Research Center

[4] Report: 70 Percent of Retired Generals Took Jobs with Defense Contractors or Consultants, by Luke Johnson, Huffington Post, Nov. 20, 2012

[5] War is a Racket, by Smedly Butler